How do I add a solar production forecast to the Home Assistant Energy Dashboard?
The Energy Dashboard supports forecasts natively: install a forecast integration, then in Settings → Dashboards → Energy edit your solar production entry and tick the forecast option provided by that integration. The dashed forecast line then overlays your actual production — turning the dashboard from a rear-view mirror into a plan for the day.
Why the dashed line matters
Without a forecast, the Energy Dashboard tells you what already happened. With one, two new uses appear. First, planning: the morning glance shows whether today is a laundry-and-EV day or a grey one — and every automation can read the same sensors the dashboard uses (see the self-consumption answer). Second, health monitoring: actual hugging the forecast means the system is fine; actual persistently sagging under it is the earliest visible sign of shading, soiling or a fault (see the system-check answer in K2).
Forecast quality decides how much you can trust both uses. Simple models estimate from location and panel geometry alone; physics-based services layer weather-model (NWP ensemble) irradiance data and calibrate against your system’s real history, which narrows the error enough that a 15% shortfall is a signal, not noise. The comparison guide walks through the options available as HA integrations.
What to do
- Install the integration via HACS, configure your array (location, orientation, tilt, kWp) and check new sensors appear (today/remaining/next-hour energy).
- Add the forecast in the Energy Dashboard — edit the solar source, enable the integration’s forecast; the dashed line appears on the production graph within an hour.
- Sanity-check for a few days — a forecast wildly off in clear weather usually means a wrong tilt/azimuth entry, worth fixing before any automation trusts it.
- Reuse the sensors beyond the dashboard — the same entities drive the morning-planner automation and the overnight battery target; the dashboard is just the visible tip.
Full guide: home-assistant-solar-forecast-comparison